NASCAR Toyota/Save Mart 350 Betting Odds, Picks: Clint Bowyer Worth a Wager?

29 October 2019

NASCAR Toyota/Save Mart 350 Betting Odds, Picks: Clint Bowyer Worth a Wager?

The Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series (MENCS) heads to Sonoma Raceway for its first street race of the 2019 season. In an added twist, this is going to be the first time since 1997 that the series races on the full 2.52-mile layout, which includes the”Carousel” section, rather than this 1.99 mile layout used the previous two decades.
Sonoma is a technical street course, considerably slower compared to its counterpart Watkins Glen, on the Cup schedule.
NASCAR Props Challenge Picks for Sunday’s Toyota/Save Mart 350 at Sonoma
Read today An important note: Don’t overvalue street course performance when gambling this race. All my top performing models show that overall street course performance is not a substantial factor that is predictive.
Rather, track history at Sonoma far neater operation across all of the road courses (including the Charlotte Roval which was conducted for the first time in last season’s playoffs). Top factors in my models include both long-run and short rate in clinic, and year-to-date functionality across all races.
One other significant factor which isn’t predictive of finishing winning or position: starting position. Since 2005, eight of the 14 winners have started 10th or worse, including two motorists winning despite starting from the 30s.
On the reverse side, just two drivers have won from the front row (both starting second), and just four drivers beginning inside the top five have won. If novels overreact to qualifying, this can be an opportunity to jump some value from elite drivers staring mid-pack, or fade sub-par Sonoma drivers beginning toward the front.
Bearing that in mind, let us look at the top futures stakes for Sunday’s race, including some very surprising chances for the motorist who sits atop my version.

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